ВУЗ: Не указан
Категория: Не указан
Дисциплина: Не указана
Добавлен: 19.10.2020
Просмотров: 2015
Скачиваний: 1
BRICS Long-Term Strategy
104
|
responsibilities are appropriately shared. BRICS will make efforts to create a
situation where developed and developing countries can work towards a common
understanding and build consensus for a peaceful world.
Interdependence is a reality of the global system. Through shared concerns
and aspirations BRICS can help the UN to overcome the challenges to peace and
security. The BRICS countries share a common view that multilateralism and a
rules-based global governance architecture are the best guarantor for global and
regional stability, and also provide a better framework for asserting common values
and interests while upholding the principle of the sovereignty of nations.
2 CHALLENGES
2.1 Rule of law and a multipolar world
The current world order, a quarter of a century since the collapse of the bipolar
system, remains unstable, unpredictable and at times chaotic. As acknowledged
by the BRICS leaders in the Fortaleza Declaration, our world is “confronted
with persistent political instability and conflict in various global hotspots and
non-conventional emerging threats” (BRICS, 2014). A further cause for concern
is the fact that not only international governance structures “show increasingly
evident signs of losing legitimacy and effectiveness” (ibid.), but the situation when
international law is ignored and replaced with ad hoc solutions and arrangements,
and precedent law undermines multilateralism and a consensus-based model of
cooperation between States.
BRICS fully supports the strengthening of a democratic, inclusive international
system and the existing institutions and espouses international law to be observed in
accordance with the principles of the UN Charter, which is based on the sovereign
equality of States and mutual respect of all countries irrespective of their political,
economic, social and ideological positions. Thus it is important to reiterate once
again the BRICS countries’ firm commitment to “reform of current institutions
towards more representative and equitable governance, capable of generating more
inclusive global growth and fostering a stable, peaceful and prosperous world” (ibid.).
The primary role of the UN Security Council is to maintain peace and
security through peaceful dispute settlement or, in some cases, the imposition of
sanctions and authorising the use of force. Discussions on reform of the Security
Council have been multifaceted, including areas such as increasing overall membership,
improving efficiency and streamlining processes. Chapter 2 discusses this
matter. To be effective, it is important that BRICS articulates a collective voice on
issues of global importance. BRICS must play an active role in matters of global
political and economic governance and consistently keep close coordination on
reforms. At the Fortaleza Summit, the BRICS countries highlighted “the need
Peace and Security
|
105
for a comprehensive reform of the UN, including its Security Council” (ibid.),
and China and Russia reiterated
“the importance they attach to Brazil, India and
South Africa’s status and role in international affairs and support their aspiration
to play a greater role in the UN”
.
BRICS countries should consistently take a clear
position on substantive reforms.
The interests of long-term stability require respect for international law as
opposed to the use of force, as well as a consideration of the objective aspects
of civilisational development: religion, culture and national legal tradition.
In accordance with article 27 of the Fortaleza Declaration, BRICS leaders have
already come up with a joint statement on their “commitment to the sustainable
and peaceful settlement of disputes, according to the principles and purposes of
the UN Charter” and condemned “unilateral military interventions and economic
sanctions in violation of international law and universally recognized norms of
international relations” (BRICS, 2014). They also emphasise that the five countries
should promote “the unique importance of the indivisible nature of security, and that
no State should strengthen its security at the expense of the security of others” (ibid.).
Because of this, BRICS countries are ready to work on establishing the
regulations to offer long-term legal solutions, so as to avoid the short-term interest
of re-interpretation of legal norms that enhance instability. Strict positivism,
intrinsic to international legal doctrines of some BRICS countries, is well illustrated
by their practical steps on the international arena throughout the 20
th
and the
beginning of the 21
st
century. Thus one can conclude that BRICS nations have to
actively join the process of strengthening the practical foundations of international
relations. Primarily this concerns the elimination of contradictions between the
legal framework of international law (article 38 of the Statute of the International
Court of Justice) and States’ decision to comply with them according to their
national foreign policy. It is paramount to provide the international system with
legal certainty. To counter a process of further violation of international law,
BRICS, in the spirit of network diplomacy, could also rely on regular unions with
the use of their economic, political, civilisational and cultural partnerships, the
Eurasian Economic Union, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Mercosur,
the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States, the South Asian Association
for Regional Cooperation, the African Union, the Asia–Europe Meeting etc.
2.2 Crisis management and risk prevention
Analysis of the main trends in the field of military conflicts shows that since the
1990s, after the bipolar world order ceased to exist, the number of conflicts in the
world has been steadily increasing (considering disputes – which involve States –
and conflicts – which also comprise non-state agents). As a result the zone of
BRICS Long-Term Strategy
106
|
instability has been widening. It is possible that armed conflicts can escalate both
horizontally (involving new States and regions) and vertically (increasing the
scale and intensity of violence in the unstable areas). Any conflict under certain
circumstances could lead to a local war, and then to a large-scale war.
Most acute disputes are, as a rule, those concerning vital national interests of
the warring parties. These interests include state sovereignty, territorial integrity,
social, political and strategic stability in the system of world community, access to
the vital economic and strategic zones and communications etc.
There are currently two basic trends in the world: i) globalisation of the world
economy, which increases the influence of transnational corporations, increases
the interdependence of countries and thus makes conflicts more costly; and
ii) a multipolar world, with the rise of new global players with their own interests
and visions of the world.
It is, therefore, very important that Ministers of Foreign Affairs build
up common principles of cooperation with regard to uniform ways of dealing
with conflicts elsewhere, and create a consultation mechanism where they can
coordinate their views.
It is worrying, in particular, that extremist forces try to achieve power and
wealth by using national and religious factors and inflaming ethnic violence,
aggressive nationalism and separatism, propagating various ideas of confrontation.
2.3 Military threats to BRICS countries
Military threats to BRICS countries may be divided into three categories: external,
internal and trans-border. Trans-border conflicts risk escalating into more
significant threats. Furthermore, trans-border terrorist movements in Africa also
threaten the stability of a number of States and some key economic interests of
BRICS countries. Trans-border threats also emanate from political instability
in BRICS nations’ neighbouring countries.
The current military-political situation near some of the BRICS nations’ borders
is fraught with large-scale armed conflicts that directly endanger their security.
The regions of instability include Afghanistan, the Middle East and Ukraine.
At the same time the level of external military threats for BRICS countries is
assessed as relatively low. We should strive to protect the security of BRICS nations
predominantly by using political and diplomatic measures, as provided by the UN
Charter. Despite all the efforts made by the international community, it has not
succeeded in developing an adequate strategy to oppose local and regional threats.
External interventions in general appear to have been rather ineffective in solving
ethnic and political conflicts, especially those of a trans-border nature. Moreover, it
seems that interventions may aggravate the situation and delay a possible solution.
Peace and Security
|
107
2.4 New types of weapons
New and emerging offensive weapon systems and defensive deployments
pose dangers to global stability. These are largely not covered by existing
treaties, they disrupt established balance of power and in specific cases,
their operationalization could lead to conflict. Since the side, which first
deploys these innovative systems, gets a first-mover advantage, we could
witness a new arms race among the major powers.
Two specific categories of weapon systems are of particular concern. First,
the Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs) and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
(UAVs) used for military purposes are now being rapidly deployed by various states.
Their use and deployment needs to be brought under a legitimate interna-
tional order and their export and proliferation needs to be managed through
an international arrangement.
Second, new developments in Ballistic Missile and Ballistic Missile
Defense systems and postures may disrupt the balance of power and the
threat of unassailability of any nation could lead to fresh rounds of coun-
ter development and counter postures leading to new tensions. Such new
developments in this space must also be brought under a suitable inter-
national regime and confidence-building measures must also be initiated.
Besides these, new and futuristic weapon systems based advancement
in science may also pose a great threat to security and stability in the
world. BRICS countries should develop a coordinated approach in creating
an international framework that governs these new weapon systems and
strengthens the regimes from the last century which are unable to manage
these new developments.
Weapons on new physical principles may also pose a great threat to
security and stability in the world. They include geophysical, acoustic,
laser, genetic and physiological (“rays of pain”) types of weapons. BRICS
countries should take a consolidated stand in demanding to bring all these
new weapons under international control.
2.5 Non-proliferation and disarmament
The BRICS members are committed to strengthening the global non-proliferation
regime and to achieve the desired objectives of universal disarmament.
BRICS expresses support to the general principles of the current international
non-proliferation and export control. To this end, it undertakes to engage in
exchanges and cooperation in the field of non-proliferation.
BRICS Long-Term Strategy
108
|
Peaceful use of nuclear energy is granted under Article IV of the Treaty on
the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), and no limitation should be
put on it, except for voluntary measures or in cases of violation of the treaty.
At the same time, the use of peaceful nuclear energy should be fully consistent
with the provisions of the Treaty, and the right of States to have access to goods
and technologies for peaceful use should be guaranteed. Significant exporters and
users across the globe should be encouraged to join relevant export control regimes.
2.6 BRICS and the prevention of an arms race in outer space
Weaponisation of outer space is a serious issue for BRICS members that are among
the top space powers (Russia, China and India accounted for 65 per cent of the
world’s space launches in 2013 and for a large proportion of the satellites in orbit).
All of the countries of the group agree on the notion that outer space should remain
non-weaponised and protected from attacks from Earth.
The BRICS countries should be ready to engage all of the key parties to
promote these approaches. They should continue to support relevant discussions
on the prevention of arms races in outer space, such as the Russian-Chinese Draft
Treaty on the Prevention of the Placement of Weapons in Outer Space and the
Use or Threat of Use of Weapons Against Outer Space Objects (PPWT), and
welcome a wide discussion of the topic. BRICS members should develop a
commom approach to governance of outer space and initiate formal and informal
consultation with all other parties.
2.7 Countering international terrorism
At least three out of the five BRICS countries face a grave terrorist threat, with
India and Russia among the top 10 countries affected by terrorism according to
the Global Terrorism Index (4
th
and 9
th
places, respectively). China occupies 23
rd
place, while South Africa (111
th
) and Brazil (116
th
) are relatively safe from terrorism,
the latter with zero occurrence (Institute for Economics and Peace, 2012).
The BRICS leaders have jointly condemned terrorism and have reiterated that
there could be no justification whatsoever for any act of terror, be it based
on ideological, religious, political, racial, ethnic or any other justification.
BRICS must work to strengthen the role and centrality of the UN as the coordinator
for international action. BRICS must work towards early implementation of the
UN Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy.
In 2014 the Russian Federal Financial Monitoring Service initiated the
establishment of the informal BRICS Council consisting of the heads of the five
countries’ delegations to the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). Further efforts by