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Promoting Cooperation for Economic Growth and Development
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Partnership (TTP), Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and
others, have also presented the BRICS nations with new challenges, which need
to be carefully studied.
TABLE 10
Progress and sticking points on trade negotiations in the Doha Round
Progress
The Doha Round subsequently became the Bali Agenda.
Agreement at Ministerial Conference includes ten texts which comprise the Bali Package; these include
in relation to: Trade Facilitation; General Services; Public Stockholding for Food Security Purposes;
Understanding on Tariff Rate Quota Administration; Export Competition; Cotton; Preferential Rules of
Origin for Least Developed Countries; Operationalisation of the waiver concerning preferential treatment
to services and services suppliers of least developed countries; duty-free and quota-free market access
for least developed countries; and a monitoring mechanism on special and differential treatment.
Sticking points
Liberalisation in the agricultural sector and food security issues.
Food security and the issue of public stockholding, although there is a formal commitment to address them.
Still no binding commitments on export subsidies in agriculture, although this is a priority area for the
post-Bali work programme
Divergence in positions
Regarding the single undertaking and further liberalisation, there is a clear divergence in positions
between developed countries and emerging economies (e.g. the United States versus India). The developed
countries wish to move further and faster than developing countries.
Agreement has been reached on the Bali Agenda, and in particular resources made available for trade facilitation.
No divergence in positions is apparent.
Some countries are negotiating for an international services trade agreement.
Still disagreement over treatment of the United States and the European Union subsidies versus Indian safeguards.
Table 11 presents the evolution of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) and
regional trade agreements (RTAs) signed by BRICS, the United States and the European
Union since 2000. The European Union can be seen to have the largest number of RTAs
and PTAs in force. As influential regional powers, the BRICS countries have made
significant progress in regional and inter-regional trade and economic cooperation.
TABLE 11
PTAs signed by BRICS, the United States and the European Union
Country
FTAs in 2000
FTAs in 2005
FTAs in 2010
Present number of FTAs
Brazil
4
4
5
5
Russia
13
14
15
16
India
3
7
14
16
China
1
5
10
11
South Africa
3
4
5
5
European
Union
17
24
33
38
United States
6
10
15
18
Source: WTO database.
Obs.: Totals are cumulative; date of entry into force used.
Both China and India have signed free trade agreements (FTAs) with the
Association of South East Asian Nations (Asean) and played important roles in
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the ASEAN+6 mechanism. Brazil has been actively promoting and participating
in the Latin American integration process. As early as 1991, it established a
common market along with Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, and it has continued
to play a leading role in economic integration. While South Africa succeeded in
promoting the Southern African Development Community (SADC), it was active
in integrating the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (Comesa)
and East African Community (EAC) into a free trade zone covering 26 countries
from eastern and southern Africa. South Africa has also been actively promoting
the FTA negotiations between the Southern African Customs Union (Sacu) and
the common market of South America.
Russia joined the WTO in 2011, which is relatively late compared to the other
BRICS nations. Before that, Russia was active in trade and economic cooperation
under the framework of the Commonwealth of Independent States and the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization (SCO). On 27 November 2009 the Heads of State of
Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan signed the Customs Code of the Customs Union,
marking the official establishment of a customs union between the three countries
within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Community. This Customs Union
plans to launch FTA negotiations with more than thirty countries worldwide.
In addition, there are more than thirty Arab and Latin American countries that have
proposed the establishment of free trade with this Customs Union.
In terms of bilateral cooperation between BRICS countries, cooperation
between China and Brazil is the most extensive. Since the global financial crisis,
China has replaced the United States as Brazil’s largest trading partner. These two
countries have closely cooperated in a variety of fields including public policy,
defence, science and technology, water conservation, quality inspection, sports,
education, agriculture, energy, telecommunications, aviation etc. In Latin America,
China has also established strategic partnerships with Mexico and Argentina and
signed FTAs with Chile, Peru and Costa Rica. China and India have completed
a report on the feasibility of establishing a bilateral FTA. China is conducting a
trade facilitation process with Russia, and negotiations with Sacu are in progress.
India has already signed bilateral FTAs with South Korea, Singapore and Thailand
and chose to negotiate with smaller economies such as Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal,
Maldives and Chile for the establishment of bilateral FTAs.
By optimising their tariff structure, the BRICS countries can raise the level
of trade facilitation, enhance export promotion via exhibitions, seminars and
symposiums, organise investment and trade promotion missions, build chambers
of commerce, and divulge specific real-time information.
The desire to integrate into regional and global production chains is a driving
force today. It is not only manufacturing that is important in climbing the ladder
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of development, but also services, which account for a larger share of value in
regional and global production chains. These factors tend to reinforce the role of
the WTO in global trade regulation, although they also bring challenges that the
multilateral trading system needs to address: given the negative effects of divergent
and complex rules of origin present in regional agreements, multilateral negotiations
may be more effective and beneficial in facilitating global production chains.
Developing countries have now become an important part of global production
chains and have rapidly integrated into the tide of global production since the
1990s. Especially after the computer and information technology revolution in
Europe and the United States, BRICS countries have become more integrated
into the global division of labour.
Industrial development in BRICS nations has contributed to this upgrading
process. By improving infrastructure and attracting foreign direct investment
(FDI), China actively pursued the development of its manufacturing industries
and has since become the world’s factory. India developed a software-outsourcing
service by leveraging its competitive advantages in language and labour cost, and
became the world’s office. Russia, Brazil and South Africa took full advantage of
their natural resources, becoming suppliers of energy, resources and raw materials.
There are no conditions for a complete value chain to form within the BRICS
countries, which requires future breakthroughs if they want to maintain their
current momentum of development. Hence, BRICS countries should develop a
good communication and coordination mechanism and deal with possible mutual
competition issues in the global value chain among the BRICS countries.
They should coordinate their industrial development strategies, with better alignment
of their policies towards industrial safety, investment etc.
2.3 Intra-BRICS direct investment
The share of BRICS nations in global direct investment inflows increased from
11 per cent before the 2007 crisis to 21 per cent in 2013. Their share in global
outflows was 6 per cent in 2013 (UNCTAD, 2014). China ranked first among
BRICS countries both in terms of attracting FDI and in terms of Outward Direct
Investment (ODI) in 2013. In terms of FDI inflows, Russia ranked second, followed
by Brazil, India and South Africa. It is worth mentioning that China, Russia, Brazil
and India were among the top twenty host economies for FDI inflows in the world.
As far as ODI is concerned, Russia ranked second, with Brazil next, followed
by India and South Africa. China and Russia were among the top twenty home
economies for ODI outflows (ibid.).
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In recent years, India has increased its FDI and provided a large number of
world-renowned multinational corporations. Russia’s overseas investment mainly
concentrates on industries where it has comparative advantages, such as oil, gas,
metallurgy and mining. However, mutual investment among BRICS countries
remains relatively small.
According to UNCTAD (2014), FDI associated with the BRICS countries is
expected to grow by more than ten times within the 21
st
century. Mutual investment
between the BRICS countries will become a new area for pragmatic cooperation.
Intra-BRICS investment is mostly “resource-seeking”. The five countries should
try and alter this profile, since productive complementarity may demand other
types of FDI.
2.4 Financial issues
The BRICS currencies have been gradually gaining in importance. According to
the latest Bank for International Settlements (2013) survey, the renminbi was the
ninth most actively traded currency, with 2.2 per cent market share in 2013, a
significant increase from its 35
th
place in 2001. The Russian ruble was the next
most traded BRICS currency, in 12th position worldwide, accounting for 1.6 per
cent of global trade. The South African rand, Brazilian real and Indian rupee were
in 18
th
, 19
th
and 20
th
position, respectively.
BRICS nations should set up research collaboration on enabling conditions
for internationalisation of their respective currencies, such as transparency and
capital account convertibility.
On 23 June 2011 the People’s Bank of China, authorised by the State Council,
signed a new bilateral local currency settlement agreement with the Central Bank of
the Russian Federation. Chinese and Russian bilateral local currency settlement will
cover not only border trade but also general trade with expanded geographic areas.
According to the new agreement, economic entities from both countries will be able
to conduct settlements and payments for trade in goods and services with a currency
of their choice: either a freely convertible currency, the renminbi or the ruble.
China and Brazil signed a $ 30 billion currency swap deal on the sidelines of
the fifth BRICS summit in South Africa, so that normal trade operations between
the two nations can be guaranteed if a future financial crisis affects global liquidity.
The fourth BRICS summit in India concluded the Master Agreement on
Extending Credit Facility in Local Currency and the Multilateral Letter of Credit
Confirmation Facility Agreement between export-import and development banks
within the BRICS Interbank Cooperation Mechanism including settlements.
This Mechanism would serve as a useful instrument for cutting trading costs and
enhancing intra-BRICS trade and investment in coming years.
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BRICS countries should seek to jointly construct a platform for dialogue
on monetary and fiscal policies and expand the spaces for monetary policies.
They should participate fully in the formulation of international financial standards and
rules, make the best use of achievements in international financial reform, and
implement international standards to achieve internal reforms and to improve
their own standards of financial rigour.
In the future, BRICS nations are supposed to continue to enhance their
financial ties by boosting investment exchanges, expanding currency swaps,
encouraging trade settlement in local currencies and promoting convertibility
among their currencies to prevent capital outflows.
3 OTHER ISSUES TO FOSTER BRICS COUNTRIES’ COMPETITIVENESS AND
COMPLEMENTARITY
3.1 Agriculture
It is important that BRICS countries expand their cooperation in agriculture. Since
they are all coastal countries, they could also actively expand cooperation in the
fisheries sector to explore growth opportunities in the blue economy. To comple-
ment each other’s advantages and achieve common development, they could join
forces in fields such as the production, storage and trade of agricultural products,
logistics and technology from a resource complementarity, technology exchange
and industry cooperation perspective.
As the most advanced of the BRICS countries in agricultural science and
technology, Brazil could offer a platform for other countries to learn from its
experiences in agricultural technologies and environmental protection and regularly
hold experience-sharing activities. This should be met by technology sharing in
other, non-agricultural areas.
By launching information-sharing and communication activities centring on
common issues in agricultural development, exchanging agricultural information
regularly, setting up an agricultural information and digital agriculture platform and
by building an information exchange mechanism, BRICS countries can gradually
enrich and perfect their food security information systems.
Communication and cooperation can be enhanced in fields such as advanced
agricultural technologies, equipment and technical personnel. In the process of
mutual learning, absorbing each other’s advanced technologies and technological
innovation, special attention could be paid to the following aspects: enhancing
the research and development of new high-quality, high-yield and disease-resistant
species; developing new styles of agriculture featuring low water intensity, farmland
protection and green manufacturing; and promoting the establishment of a
resource-saving and environmentally friendly agriculture.