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Political and Economic Governance
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FIGURE 7
Infrastructure spending, percentage of GDP
(In %)
6,4
2,6
5,1
6,9
4,0
3,6
4,9
8,5
5,0
3,4
4,7
3,4
2,6
1,5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
China
Japan
South Africa
India
Russia
United States
Brazil
%
Estimated need
Actual spending
Source: McKinsey Global Institute, infrastructure productivity: how to save $1 trillion a year, Jan. 2013.
The Articles of Agreement of the NDB proposes to complement “the existing efforts
of multilateral and regional financial institutions for global growth and development”
and “support public or private projects through loans, guarantees, equity participation
and other financial instruments”. It also underlines the need to “cooperate with inter-
national organizations and other financial entities, and provide technical assistance”.
It may be noted that in this context the involvement of international organisations
and private stakeholders may enable large capital infusion at times of contingency,
and provide specific experience and expertise for NDB’s operations.
Similar to existing models at the Asian Development Bank and the African
Development Bank (table 7), the NDB’s capital will comprise both Ordinary
Capital and a Special Fund, both to be governed by specific terms and conditions
including repayment of principle and interest charges. Special Funds could
earmark projects aimed at building infrastructure networks such as ports, roads
and highways, to promote regional economic integration.
TABLE 7
Means of financing – existing MDBs
MDB
Arm
Type of financing
Commitments in FY
2013 (USD billions)
World Bank
IBRD
Non-concessional loans and loan guarantees
15.2
IDA
Concessional loans and grants
16.3
IFC
Non-concessional loans, equity investments and loan
guarantees
18.3
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BRICS Long-Term Strategy
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MDB
Arm
Type of financing
Commitments in FY
2013 (USD billions)
African Development Bank
AfDB
Non-concessional loans, equity investments and loan
guarantees
2.7
AfDf
Concessional loans and grants
3.4
NTF
Concessional loans and grants
0.1
Asian Development Bank
ADB
Non-concessional loans, equity investments and loan
guarantees
11.9
ADF
Concessional loans and grants
4.5
European Bank for Reconstruction
and Development
EBRD
Non-concessional loans, equity investments and loan
guarantees
11.2
Inter-American Development Bank
IDB
Non-concessional loans and loan guarantees
13.2
FSO
Concessional loans
0.3
Source: Annual Reports – World Bank, ADB, EBRD, IADB.
The NDB Articles of Agreement also allow the option of financing certain
projects in local currencies. Such instruments can offer safe investment alternatives
in shallow bond markets. For instance, the IFC raised bonds denominated
in Indian rupees worth USD 2 billion in August 2013 to finance infrastructure
projects (Kumar, 2014). In the context of the NDB, modalities of local bond issues
in nascent capital markets must be developed in conjunction with retail investor
awareness and education programmes.
For non-concessional finance, the Articles of Agreement use a ratio of 1:5
between paid-in and callable capital, similar to other MDBs. This gives the NDB
the leverage to finance projects worth USD 50 billion for every USD 10 billion
actually disbursed.
The NDB must be able to fulfil an ambitious and expansive development
mandate. While financing transformations within infrastructure and sustainable
development sectors in developing countries is already established as the operational
mandate, a set of well-articulated development principles would help to distinguish
the directional and definitional aspects of the NDB’s mandate.
The global development discourse has largely been driven by institutions
that were formed in the 20th century, and does not reflect contemporary realities.
For instance, the only development “consensus” today seems to be that the
“Washington Consensus”, which stressed the maximisation of the role of
the market and minimisation of the role of governments in developing countries,
is not in fact a panacea for global development deficits.
The NDB could follow a demand-driven approach to financing which
would place the onus of identification of viable projects for financing on recipient
governments. This process is already being followed within many development
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61
financing institutions of BRICS countries and is seen to be a pillar of mutually
beneficial cooperation. Particular emphasis would have to be maintained on the
transparency of demand origination, as well as the assessment process followed
by the NDB’s executive branches for deciding on funding commitments towards
various stakeholders.
The NDB could conduct thorough assessments of various domestic economic
and political contexts of recipient countries. A “one-size-fits-all” development
approach has not been successful; this is evidenced by the variable levels of progress
by developing countries on the Millennium Development Goals. Structural
considerations have often limited the flows of development financing, particularly
in the case of funding flows routed through existing Bretton Woods Institutions
towards developing countries. The macroeconomic fundamentals of different countries
should not be assessed through a static framework of reference but, instead,
through a dynamic and to some extent qualitative assessment, particularly within
the specific sectors that are being considered for financing.
Developing countries have a shared challenge of building up domestic insti-
tutional capacities to enhance development. The efficacy of development finance
cannot be ensured without commensurate focus on capacity-building. Indeed,
capacity-building in many instances would be a prerequisite to aspects such as “good
governance” or the effective utilisation of financial flows towards specific projects.
The NDB could support existing domestic capacities for project management and
implementation, as well as institutions which can facilitate the measurement of
developmental impact in recipient countries.
A Technical Evaluation Group should be set up within the NDB, tasked
with:
i
) monitoring and assessment of projects and audit functions;
ii
) supervision
of financial and non-financial risks; and
iii
) advisory support towards projects.
2.4 Coordination in multilateral institutions
As BRICS assumes a pivotal role in the global governance architecture, it has to
strive towards affecting structural changes within existing multilateral institutions,
to promote effective governance, inclusiveness and transparency. The BRICS
countries must be propositional and share relevant governance experiences with
each other to further this central objective.
2.4.1 United Nations Security Council
The primary role of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) is maintaining
international peace and security through peaceful dispute settlement or, in some
cases, the imposition of sanctions and authorisation of the use of force.
The UNSC also recommends candidates for the role of Secretary-General of the
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UN and nominates new member nations; together with the General Assembly, it
elects the judges of the International Court of Justice.
The UNSC comprises 15 members – five permanent members with veto
powers (the P-5: China, France, Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and
the United States) and 10 non-permanent members with ordinary voting powers,
elected for two-year terms by the General Assembly (currently: Angola, Chad,
Chile, Jordan, Lithuania, Malaysia, New Zealand, Nigeria, Spain and Venezuela).
The voting pattern of the important UNSC resolutions in the last five years is
highlighted in table 8.
Discussions on UNSC reform have been multifaceted – including areas such
as increasing overall membership, improving efficiency and streamlining processes.
A well-established motivation for reforms includes the steady growth in UN
membership from 51 to 193 members. Moreover, the growing economic and
political prominence of emerging and developing economies, such as Brazil
and India, has highlighted the need for broader representation (table 8).
TABLE 8
P-5 vs. G-4 (2013)
1
Population (millions)
GDP (current USD
billions)
Peacekeeping troops
UN funding
(% of total funding)
Defence budget
(USD billions)
Brazil
200 (5)
2245 (7)
1685 (21)
2.93% (10)
34.7 (10)
India
1252 (2)
1876 (10)
8104 (2)
0.66% (27)
36.3 (9)
Japan
127 (10)
4901 (3)
271 (46)
10.83% (2)
51.0 (7)
Germany
80 (16)
3634 (4)
204 (52)
7.14% (3)
44.2 (8)
China
1357 (1)
9240 (2)
2192 (14)
5.15% (6)
112.2 (2)
Russia
143 (9)
2096 (8)
91 (67)
2.44% (11)
68.2 (3)
France
66 (21)
2735 (5)
933 (27)
5.59% (4)
52.4 (6)
UK
64 (22)
2522 (6)
287 (45)
5.17% (5)
57.0 (5)
USA
316 (3)
16800 (1)
117 (62)
22% (1)
600.4 (1)
Sources: World Bank Data, UN Peacekeeping, International Institute for Strategic Studies.
Note:
1
2013 or most recently available.
Although reform of the UNSC has been on the UN agenda since 1993,
the status quo remains. Different groupings such as the G-4 (Brazil, India, Japan
and Germany), the UFC (United for Consensus: Argentina, Canada, Colombia,
Costa Rica, Italy, Malta, Mexico, Pakistan, Republic of Korea, San Marino, Spain,
Turkey) and the African Union have proposed varied solutions.
Changes to the UNSC membership can only be affected via amendments to
the UN Charter. These amendments must be ratified by a two-thirds supermajority
of the UN as well as the mandatory consent of each of the P-5 countries.
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To be effective, it is imperative that BRICS countries articulate a collective
voice on issues of global importance. At the Fortaleza Summit
they highlighted
“the need for a comprehensive reform of the UN, including its Security Council”,
and China and Russia reiterated “the importance they attach to Brazil, India and
South Africa’s status and role in international affairs and support[ed] their aspiration
to play a greater role in the UN” (BRICS, 2014)
.
BRICS countries should
consistently take a clear position on substantive reforms, both within the BRICS
forum and outside it.
2.4.2 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is
an international treaty, ratified by 196 countries, to respond to global warming
and climate change. The Convention was adopted at the Rio Earth Summit in
1992, and negotiations were launched in 1995 to strengthen the global response
to climate change. Since then, the Conference of Parties (COP) – the governing
body of the UNFCCC – has been convening annually to assess the progress on
the overall objectives. There have been 19 COPs, and some of the prominent
outcomes/agreements are highlighted in table 9.
TABLE 9
Notable COPs and outcomes
Year
Location
Agreement/Outcome
1997
Kyoto
Kyoto Protocol
2001
Bonn
Design of flexible mechanisms such as emissions trading, joint implementation,
Clean Development Mechanism
2001
Marrakech
Detailed rules for implementation of the Kyoto Protocol
2005
Montreal
Montreal Action Plan to extend the Kyoto Protocol
2007
Bali
Bali Action Plan – negotiation of a post-2012 framework
2009
Copenhagen
Copenhagen Accord negotiated by 25 countries including the USA and China; countries submitted
non-binding pledges
2010
Cancun
Agreement on a USD100 billion per annum Green Climate Fund and a Climate Technology Centre
2011
Durban
Durban Platform for Enhanced Action
2012
Doha
A new commitment period under the Kyoto Protocol for Annex-I Parties up to December 2020
2013
Warsaw
Warsaw Framework for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) Plus
Source: UNFCCC. Background on the UNFCCC: the international response to climate change. Available at: <http://goo.gl/og2cwO>.
Accessed: 1 Oct. 2014.
At COP15 in Copenhagen four members of BRICS – India, China, Brazil
and South Africa – formed the “BASIC” grouping. Since then, members of BASIC
have been meeting on the side-lines of climate change negotiations. Such close
cooperation efforts are indicative of the potential of BRICS nations to address climate
change in accordance with historical responsibilities, current capacities and on key